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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Raheem Mostert's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 91.2% figure.
  • With a very bad ratio of just 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (1st percentile), Raheem Mostert stands among the worst rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Browns defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.5 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.9 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.

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