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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+800/-1350).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +800 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a big -9-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Raiders have been the 5th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.8% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With an exceptional 92.2% Adjusted Catch% (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Raheem Mostert has been as one of the best possession receivers in football among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (just 52.5 per game on average).
  • Raheem Mostert has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Raheem Mostert's box scores this year.
  • This year, the daunting Broncos defense has conceded a feeble 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

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