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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Raiders, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • With a 40.0% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans run defense has been gouged for a colossal 156.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tennessee's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.5 total plays run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The model projects Raheem Mostert to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game in this week's game (11.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.7% in games he has played).

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