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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Raheem Mostert's 4.2 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a significant boost in his rushing skills over last year's 3.2 rate.
  • Raheem Mostert grades out as one of the top RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.52 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 84th percentile.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Raiders offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.37 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Raheem Mostert has been much less involved in his offense's running game this season (7.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.7%).

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