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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Raiders offensive scheme to skew 2.1% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Chip Kelly now calling the plays.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.6% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders offense to be the quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.33 seconds per play.
  • Last year, the poor Patriots run defense has given up a monstrous 135.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-worst in football.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New England's collection of LBs has been lousy last year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Raheem Mostert has accounted for 25.7% of his team's carries in games he has played last year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Las Vegas's rushing attack this week at 8.8%.

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