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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.
  • When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Dolphins profiles as the 7th-best in football last year.
  • Raheem Mostert's 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects an impressive growth in his rushing proficiency over last year's 54.0 figure.
  • With an excellent record of 5.23 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile), Raheem Mostert ranks as one of the leading RBs in football this year.
  • With an exceptional rate of 3.50 yards after contact (93rd percentile), Raheem Mostert rates as one of the most effective running backs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.2% run rate.
  • The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • The model projects Raheem Mostert to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (40.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.0% in games he has played).

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