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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.
  • With a remarkable 92.5% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Raheem Mostert rates among the most reliable receivers in football among RBs.
  • This year, the shaky Cowboys pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 86.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 52.9 plays per game.
  • Raheem Mostert has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (20.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (30.8%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Raheem Mostert has been one of the weakest pass-catching running backs this year, averaging just 0.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile among running backs.

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