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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (78.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (78.6%).

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