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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.4% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Raheem Mostert's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 91.3% to 100.0%.
  • The Giants defense has conceded the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (35.0) versus RBs this year.
  • This year, the poor New York Giants pass defense has conceded a monstrous 86.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • Raheem Mostert has run fewer routes this year (19.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (30.8%).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Raheem Mostert has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

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