Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
With a remarkable 55.4% Route Participation% (89th percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert rates as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the NFL.
In this contest, Raheem Mostert is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.8 targets.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Raheem Mostert has notched a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 19th percentile among running backs.
This year, the imposing Eagles pass defense has conceded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a puny 5.7 YAC.
The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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