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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+129/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (37.8% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.5 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Raheem Mostert has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (8.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (25.7%).

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