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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to accumulate 14.1 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Raheem Mostert has received 52.2% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 8th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 4th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.1 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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