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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-129/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • With a high 13.8% Red Zone Target% (87th percentile) this year, Rachaad White stands among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.
  • This year, the weak Saints pass defense has been torched for a massive 87.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • While Rachaad White has garnered 50.0% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's running game near the end zone in this week's game at 73.4%.
  • Rachaad White has totaled a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 17th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The receiving TD field reads "0" on Rachaad White's box scores this year.

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