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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+480/-500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Rachaad White has been responsible for 29.0% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Tampa Bay's rushing attack near the end zone in this game at 14.3%.
  • Rachaad White has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 14.7% this year, which places him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Rachaad White grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, completing a remarkable 95.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.7 per game) this year.
  • In regards to air yards, Rachaad White grades out in the lowly 10th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.
  • The receiving TD field reads "0" on the back of Rachaad White's trading card this year.

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