My Account Log Out
 
 
Rachaad White

Rachaad White Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+385/-440).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +410 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +385.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Rachaad White to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game near the end zone in this week's game (16.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.5% in games he has played).
  • Rachaad White has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 14.1% this year, which places him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • Rachaad White comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, completing a remarkable 95.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins pass defense has been torched for a staggering 90.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed the 10th-most receiving touchdowns in football to running backs: 0.20 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to air yards, Rachaad White ranks in just the 9th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™