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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Rachaad White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -470 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (59.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Rachaad White to be a less important option in his offense's running game near the goal line in this contest (14.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (35.6% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Rachaad White profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a fantastic 95.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.9 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Rachaad White to be much less involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (8.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played).

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