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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Rachaad White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-420).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -390 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • While Rachaad White has been responsible for 34.1% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Tampa Bay's running game near the goal line this week at 9.6%.
  • The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • With a fantastic 95.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (98th percentile) this year, Rachaad White places among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • While Rachaad White has received 14.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Tampa Bay's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 9.6%.
  • As it relates to air yards, Rachaad White grades out in the measly 9th percentile among running backs this year, with just -5.0 per game.

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