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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+172/-194).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -192 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -194.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (59.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
  • With an extraordinary 13.5% Red Zone Target Rate (91st percentile) this year, Rachaad White ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
  • The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 93.3% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Rachaad White ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are forecasted by the model to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • Rachaad White has been given 48.1% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Rachaad White has posted a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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