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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offensive blueprint to lean 6.0% more towards the run game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 44.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Rachaad White to total 14.7 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Rachaad White has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (54.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (33.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

The Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

Rachaad White's running efficiency (3.36 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (20th percentile among RBs).

Rachaad White checks in as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.41 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.

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