Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
In this contest, Rachaad White is projected by the projection model to land in the 85th percentile among running backs with 15.6 rush attempts.
After taking on 33.7% of his offense's carries last year, Rachaad White has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, now making up 55.9%.
Rachaad White's 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a a meaningful growth in his rushing proficiency over last season's 30.0 figure.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.2 per game on average).
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.
Rachaad White's ground effectiveness (3.35 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (22nd percentile among RBs).

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