Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
Our trusted projections expect Rachaad White to accumulate 15.7 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White has been much more involved in his team's running game this season (57.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.7%).
Rachaad White has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
In regards to opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.
Rachaad White's running efficiency (3.43 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (16th percentile among running backs).
Rachaad White profiles as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.30 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 8th percentile.