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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The projections expect Rachaad White to accrue 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rachaad White to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Rachaad White's receiving skills have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 2.1 adjusted receptions compared to 3.4 last season.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.3%) versus running backs this year (78.3%).
  • The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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