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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense last year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • Rachaad White has run a route on 48.6% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In this week's game, Rachaad White is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 2.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Rachaad White has accumulated a paltry -6.0 air yards per game last year: just 2nd percentile among RBs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against running backs last year, conceding 5.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the league.
  • Last year, the formidable Falcons pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a measly 4.8 YAC.

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