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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Rachaad White to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • Rachaad White has accumulated a paltry -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 13th percentile among running backs.
  • Rachaad White has been among the worst RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (76%) versus running backs since the start of last season (76.0%).
  • The Saints pass defense has displayed good efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, giving up 5.02 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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