Rachaad White Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Rachaad White's 69.8% Route Participation% this year represents a meaningful growth in his passing game workload over last year's 32.7% figure.
The leading projections forecast Rachaad White to accrue 5.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White has posted substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

Favors Under

The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
When talking about air yards, Rachaad White grades out in just the 12th percentile among running backs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Rachaad White has been as one of the top pass-catching running backs in football in the open field.
This year, the daunting Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a paltry 6.1 YAC.

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