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Quintin Morris

Quintin Morris Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Quintin Morris Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1250/-1450).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1600 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • With a terrific 86.3% Adjusted Catch% (84th percentile) this year, Quintin Morris rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Quintin Morris has been in just the 23rd percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a subpar 4.3 mark this year.
  • The Bills pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67%) vs. tight ends this year (67.0%).
  • This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills run defense has conceded a monstrous 1.41 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the worst rate in the NFL.

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