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Quintin Morris

Quintin Morris Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Quintin Morris Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Jaguars have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • The Cardinals defense has been gouged for the 9th-most receiving TDs in the league to tight ends: 0.50 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (48.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Quintin Morris has been not been very involved his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 2nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Quintin Morris profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, completing a mere 61.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most TDs in football (1.10 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.

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