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Quintin Morris Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1350/-2400).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.7% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.5% red zone run rate.The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Quintin Morris has been not been very involved his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 18th percentile among tight ends.Looking at the sum total of his team's air yards this year, Quintin Morris has only received a meager 0.0%, putting him in the 13th percentile when it comes to tight ends.Quintin Morris rates in just the 1st percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a weak 0.0 figure this year.
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