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Quintin Morris

Quintin Morris Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Quintin Morris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-230).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Quintin Morris has been one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, hauling in a terrific 90.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 55.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Quintin Morris's 7.8% Route% this year marks an impressive decline in his air attack usage over last year's 25.1% figure.

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