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Quinn Ewers

Quinn Ewers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Quinn Ewers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-216).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +178 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the 6th-most passing touchdowns in the league: 1.73 per game this year.
  • The Buccaneers linebackers project as the 4th-worst LB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.5 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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