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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

Quez Watkins's 72.0% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 67.1% rate.

This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has allowed a whopping 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

The New York cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Quez Watkins's 12.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 22.9.

More Quez Watkins Player Props

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