Quez Watkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Quez Watkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 78.2%.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has given their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
Quez Watkins has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this year (8.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.1%).
The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) versus wideouts this year (63.1%).

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