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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 78.2%.
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has given their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
  • Quez Watkins has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this year (8.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.1%).
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) versus wideouts this year (63.1%).

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