Quez Watkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.6% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Quez Watkins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 67.0% to 77.1%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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