Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Quez Watkins has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching a terrific 71.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
Quez Watkins has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (2.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (13.8%).
Quez Watkins has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

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