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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+103/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Quez Watkins has been much less involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 53.7% of snaps vs 53.7% last season.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Quez Watkins has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a stellar 70.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • Quez Watkins has been among the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a terrific 9.55 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 84th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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