Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Quez Watkins has been among the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a terrific 9.27 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile among wideouts.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in football (176.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack this week (7.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.1% in games he has played).

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