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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 60.9% rate of passing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • The Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • Quentin Johnston has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.2% this year, which ranks him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Quentin Johnston has put up far more air yards this season (79.0 per game) than he did last season (70.0 per game).
  • With an outstanding rate of 0.83 per game through the air (99th percentile), Quentin Johnston has been among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chargers being an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • The Chargers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

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