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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-260).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +255 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +188.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Quentin Johnston has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Quentin Johnston has compiled a massive 73.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (46.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the fewest TDs through the air in football to wideouts: 0.58 per game since the start of last season.

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