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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+345/-500).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Chargers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Chargers rank as the 10th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • With an extraordinary 21.8% Red Zone Target Share (86th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston ranks among the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are predicted by the model to call just 63.0 total plays in this game: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 70.0 air yards per game last season, Quentin Johnston has produced significantly less this season, now sitting at 61.0 per game.
  • Quentin Johnston's 43.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 52.2.
  • The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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