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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Chargers.
  • The Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • With a high 21.7% Red Zone Target Share (86th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston places as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the end zone in football.
  • In regards to air yards, Quentin Johnston grades out in the towering 79th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a massive 70.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Los Angeles offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the anemic Raiders run defense has yielded a whopping 1.27 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

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