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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

Quentin Johnston's 91.8% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a meaningful progression in his passing offense utilization over last season's 78.4% mark.

The projections expect Quentin Johnston to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.

With an impressive 3.8 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Quentin Johnston stands as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chargers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's game.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.

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