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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-117/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +101 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The model projects Quentin Johnston to total 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
  • Quentin Johnston's 52.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 79th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).

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