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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

This week, Quentin Johnston is predicted by the model to rank in the 78th percentile among wideouts with 7.1 targets.

Quentin Johnston rates in the 77th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 52.1 figure since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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