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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).
  • With an extraordinary 86.9% Route Participation Rate (81st percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston stands as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
  • With an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston places as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Patriots linebackers profile as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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