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Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

With a stellar 3.4 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.47 seconds per snap.

Quentin Johnston's 44.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 52.2.

As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chargers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

This year, the fierce Texans defense has yielded a paltry 56.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the lowest rate in the league.

The Houston cornerbacks profile as the best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Quentin Johnston Player Props

Quentin Johnston ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 17