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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-107/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.9 per game) this year.
  • Quentin Johnston has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (88.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (78.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.

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