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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Quentin Johnston has been less involved as a potential target this season (89.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (78.4%).
  • The projections expect Quentin Johnston to earn 7.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.7 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • Quentin Johnston's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a significant diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 5.5% rate.

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