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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Quentin Johnston's 91.8% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a meaningful progression in his passing offense utilization over last season's 78.4% mark.
  • The projections expect Quentin Johnston to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Quentin Johnston has accrued a whopping 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
  • Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.

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