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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (+101/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • This week, Quentin Johnston is predicted by the model to rank in the 78th percentile among wideouts with 7.1 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, Quentin Johnston grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 72.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Quentin Johnston is positioned as one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 128.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
  • The Raiders pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 7.68 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.

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