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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Quentin Johnston has accumulated a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Quentin Johnston profiles as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 45.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.47 seconds per snap.
  • Quentin Johnston's 44.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 52.2.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chargers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Quentin Johnston's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.5% figure.
  • The Houston Texans defense has given up the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 112.0) vs. WRs this year.

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